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3

Decem Carolinae

2yo Filly · 8-13

Windsor · Wasdell Group Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f 12y

#6

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fared best of the newcomers when staying on for sixth in 13-runner maiden at Yarmouth in June. Entitled to take a step forward from that experience.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Yarmouth 26/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 6f3y GF 12826/065
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-26Yarmouth56th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength42%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/06/20266th14/126%58%+0.32