6
Rocsane
2yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 70
Windsor · Wasdell Group Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f 12y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
90%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength56%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Yarmouth | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Lingfield | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-13 | Yarmouth | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength82%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 78% | +0.23 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |