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4

Gris De Chine

3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 59

Windsor · Wasdell Group EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f 21y

#3

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Modest form and will need to raise her game to take this.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Wolverhampton 10/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 6f20y Std 12810/0344 @ Wolverhampton 30/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 6f20y Std 12430/0344 @ Kempton 04/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 6f Sta 1274/0544 @ Ffos Las 14/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 60 · 5f Goo 128 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 60 par14/074OR 60projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14Ffos Las44th4th0
2026-05-04Kempton47th7th0
2026-03-30Wolverhampton43rd3rd0
2026-03-10Wolverhampton45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0330/034/0514/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength45%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/03/20265th40/10%43%+0.43
30/03/20263rd12/137%75%+0.38
04/05/20267th22/10%33%+0.33
14/07/20264th20/10%50%+0.50