5

Just Dreaming

3yo Filly · 9-2

Windsor · Wasdell Group EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f 21y

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well held in 2 outings 15 months apart (trained by Mark Usher on debut).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 09/04/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 5f Sta 1289/0455 @ Wolverhampton 14/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 6f20y Std 12614/075projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14Wolverhampton57th8th1
2025-04-09Kempton55th6th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0414/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength10%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/04/20255th28/10%20%+0.20
14/07/20267th12/137%33%-0.04