7
Night Shining
3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 72
Windsor · Wasdell Group EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f 21y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Kempton | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Chester | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Yarmouth | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-10 | Newmarket | 2 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength95%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 29% | -0.48 |
| 30/04/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 70% | +0.02 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 70% | -0.09 |