8
Pilgrim's Progress
3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 67
Windsor · Wasdell Group EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f 21y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
80%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.6
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Lingfield | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Lingfield | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-12-17 | Lingfield | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-24 | Newbury | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Kempton | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength32%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/10/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 57% | +0.15 |
| 17/12/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 25/07/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |