7
Dora Vita
3yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 46
Windsor · Talk Sport Classified Stakes · 1m 2f
#11
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Leicester | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Brighton | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Windsor | 6 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Lingfield | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength46%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/12/2025 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/01/2026 | 12th | 200/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 13/02/2026 | 4th | 200/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 16/03/2026 | 4th | 80/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 14/04/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 27/04/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 25/05/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 22/06/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |