2
Kaaress
5yo Mare · 9-9 · OR 49
Windsor · Talk Sport Classified Stakes · 1m 2f
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Lingfield | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Chelmsford City | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Lingfield | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-21 | Lingfield | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 12
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.23 |
| 15/12/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 03/01/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 21/01/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 31/01/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 26/02/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 09/03/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 25/03/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 56% | +0.13 |
| 09/04/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |