12

Time For Action

3yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 50

Windsor · Talk Sport Classified Stakes · 1m 2f

#9

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won soft-ground handicap at Bath last autumn but hasn't got close to that level in her 4 subsequent outings.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Wolverhampton 22/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 7f36y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS22/0754 @ Leicester 30/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Wolverhampton 16/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 6f20y Std 123 · HIGHER CLASS16/0956 @ Bath 20/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 51 · 1m Sft 131 · beat its mark20/10/2025 · OR 51 par6 @ Bath 30/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 51 · 1m Sft 121 · beat its mark30/10/2025 · OR 51 par30/106OR 516 @ Chelmsford City 06/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 51 · 1m2f Std 133 · beat its mark06/11/2025 · OR 51 par6 @ Newcastle 02/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 56 · 1m5y Std 131 · below its mark02/12/2025 · OR 56 par2/126OR 566 @ Bath 13/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 55 · 1m Gd 125 · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Chepstow 24/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 53 · 1m2f GF 126 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 53 par24/076OR 53projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Chepstow68th8th0
2026-06-13Bath614th14th0
2025-12-02Newcastle67th7th0
2025-11-06Chelmsford City65th5th0
2025-10-30Bath61st1st0
2025-10-20Bath62nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0720/102/1224/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 12
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/07/20257th50/10%40%+0.40
30/07/20257th66/10%0%0.00
16/09/20259th40/10%11%+0.11
20/10/20252nd22/10%91%+0.91
30/10/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
06/11/20255th11/271%20%-0.51
02/12/20257th28/10%14%+0.14
13/06/202614th20/10%0%0.00
24/07/20268th20/10%13%+0.13