Dark Rosa
4yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 65
Windsor · Talk Sport Radio Handicap · 1m 31y
#8
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Salisbury | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Newbury | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Wetherby | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-04-05 | Bath | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-01-10 | Lingfield | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 24/11/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 08/12/2025 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 10/01/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 56% | -0.30 |
| 05/04/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 26/04/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 27% | -0.15 |
| 15/05/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 42% | -0.11 |
| 14/06/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 83% | +0.28 |
| 21/07/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 58% | -0.13 |