Flag Carrier
5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 62
Windsor · Talk Sport Radio Handicap · 1m 31y
#7
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Windsor | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Huntingdon | 4 | +2 | ||
| 2025-11-03 | Kempton | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-09-24 | Kempton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Brighton | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 24/07/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |
| 13/08/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 26/08/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 31/08/2025 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 30% | +0.25 |
| 24/09/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.44 |
| 02/10/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 03/11/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 44% | -0.32 |
| 20/07/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |