7
My Ambition
7yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 55
Windsor · Talk Sport Radio Handicap · 1m 31y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Leicester | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Bath | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Bath | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-03-27 | Lingfield | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Southwell | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Lingfield | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength50%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2025 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 42% | -0.21 |
| 16/08/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 08/09/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 13/09/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 29/09/2025 | 11th | 5/2 | 87% | 23% | -0.64 |
| 27/03/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |
| 29/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 12/05/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 11% | -0.68 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |