12

Kalipette Jeloca

6yo Mare · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix Des Droseras - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#2

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

23%

Place Prob

35%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Caen 10/03/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 010/03C?C0 @ Cabourg 25/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 08/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 08/08C?C0 @ Cabourg 22/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 04/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 04/10C?5 @ Meslay Du Maine 09/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 18 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 06 @ Saint Brieuc 30/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f176y Std 030/046C0 @ Argentan 19/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 05 @ Toulouse 05/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 05/065projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Le Mont-Saint-Michel60
2026-06-05Toulouse51st1st0
2026-05-19Argentan?4th4th0
2026-04-30Saint Brieuc68th8th0
2026-04-09Meslay Du Maine512th12th0
2026-03-14Lisieux60

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0322/0830/045/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength53%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/03/20257th22/10%54%+0.54
25/07/20258th50/10%53%+0.53
08/08/20258th25/10%46%+0.46
22/08/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
04/10/20253rd17/255%86%+0.30
09/04/202612th50/10%35%+0.35
30/04/20268th40/10%50%+0.50
19/05/20264th13/266%75%+0.09
05/06/20261st2/189%100%+0.11