18:50 · Thistledown

Race 5 - Allowance

5f 110y3YO plusDIRT6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 684/11
Saltmakeshersweet silks

Irish Charm Thoroughbreds Llc

5yo Mare · 8-7

Bird Song - Salty Breeze (Stormy Atlantic)

Deshawn Parker60%1/4Gary Johnson60%
364314
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

30/10 · C7 · finish vs mark below30/10 · mark par30/1016/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/12 · mark par24/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/02 · mark par4/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par18/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par8/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/06 · mark par8/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%30/10Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 57%24/02Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 100%18/05Pos 4 · SP 4/11 | Expected: 98%Pos 4 · SP 4/11 | Actual: 0%8/06
Projected finish1st of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
Value2
OR 615/1
Miss Springsteen silks

Infront Racing LLC

5yo Mare · 8-7

Gormley - Melanie May (Animal Kingdom)

Chelsey Keiser60%0/3Gary Johnson60%
222623
5.0Going 7.0

Class Advantage

22/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above22/09 · mark par22/092/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/10 · mark par20/10 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/10 · mark par28/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/04 · mark par18/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par8/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par8/06projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 83%22/09Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%20/10Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 80%18/05Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 33%8/06
Projected finish2nd of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
3
OR 7113/2
Credit Check silks

Siesta Thoroughbred Racing

4yo Filly · 8-7

Goldencents - Credit Analyst (Central Banker)

Humberto Haldar60%−7lbRichard Zielinski60%
214423
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

19/03 · C8 · finish vs mark above19/03 · mark par19/037/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above7/04 · mark par4/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par18/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/05 · mark par8/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par7/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par7/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 80%19/03Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%4/05Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%8/06Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%7/07
Projected finish3rd of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
6
OR 427/2
Weelassie silks

Julie Knott

3yo Filly · 8-3

Mor Spirit - Sister Janice (Ecclesiastic)

Luis Rivera60%Christophe Davis
2210
6.0

Class Advantage

20/02 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a20/021/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/04 · mark par1/04projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 83%20/02Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 90%1/04
Projected finish4th of 6
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength98%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
5
OR 4510/3
Ryzen silks

Maria Quezada

4yo Filly · 8-11

Cloud Computing - Atlantic Zip (Stormy Atlantic)

Fernando Becerra Salazar60%1/2Jose Atala
533441
7.0

Class Advantage

13/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/11 · mark par13/111/01 · C9 · finish vs mark above1/01 · mark par5/02 · C9 · finish vs mark above5/02 · mark par28/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par20/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par6/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 20%13/11Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 78%5/02Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 63%20/06Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%6/07
Projected finish5th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
4
OR 6316/1
All Pepped Up silks

Marion F Gorham Revocable Trust

3yo Filly · 8-3

Mor Spirit - Cross Town Rival (City Weekend)

Erik Barbaran60%Robert Gorham60%
1238
5.0Going 7.0

Class Advantage

22/09 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a22/0917/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/02 · mark par17/022/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/03 · mark par2/0329/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/04 · mark par29/04projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength9%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%22/09Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 83%17/02Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 60%2/03Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 30%29/04
Projected finish6th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength2%
ExpectedActualTrend