10

Katinka Coton

6yo Mare · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix Des Droseras - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength1%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cabourg 22/08/2025 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 022/08C?C0 @ Caen 11/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 26/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 026/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 22/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 04/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 04/12C?5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 08/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 0C0 @ Mauquenchy 26/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 026/01C?C0 @ Vincennes 08/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Laval 18/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 018/02C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-02-18Laval?7th7th0
2026-02-08Vincennes?5th5th0
2026-01-26Mauquenchy?2nd2nd0
2026-01-08Bordeaux Le Bouscat54th4th0
2025-12-04Vincennes?9th9th0
2025-11-22Vincennes?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0822/1126/0118/02
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength90%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/08/202512th16/116%8%-0.07
11/10/20251st25/10%100%+1.00
26/10/202511th22/10%29%+0.29
22/11/20253rd33/10%87%+0.87
04/12/20259th40/10%38%+0.38
08/01/20264th10/147%75%+0.28
26/01/20262nd12/137%94%+0.57
08/02/20265th14/126%73%+0.47
18/02/20267th8/158%60%+0.02