14
Lovely Bruyere
5yo Filly · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix Des Joubarbes - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
20%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Cabourg | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Saint-Malo | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Caen | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-07 | Lisieux | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Argentan | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-11 | Argentan | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/2025 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 59% | -0.04 |
| 21/01/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 04/02/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 18/03/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 26/03/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 11/05/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.46 |
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 89% | +0.31 |