11

Iris Du Livier

8yo Mare · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix Des Jacinthes - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

20%

Place Prob

32%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength9%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vichy 04/07/2024 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 7f219y Std 04/07C?C0 @ Beaumont-De-Lomagne 25/08/2024 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 0C0 @ Vichy 26/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 026/08C?C0 @ Angers 08/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m7f117y Std 05 @ Nantes 16/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 016/0157 @ Toulouse 07/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Vichy 10/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 010/05C?C0 @ Vichy 01/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 06 @ Vichy 13/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 013/066projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-13Vichy61st1st0
2026-06-01Vichy?1st1st0
2026-05-10Vichy?2nd2nd0
2026-02-07Toulouse71st1st0
2026-01-16Nantes59th9th0
2025-12-08Angers?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/078/1210/0513/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/07/20242nd14/126%92%+0.66
25/08/20249th4/179%43%-0.36
26/08/20254th18/15%79%+0.73
08/12/20251st11/271%100%+0.29
16/01/20269th10/147%47%-0.01
07/02/20261st8/1397%100%+0.03
10/05/20262nd16/116%90%+0.74
01/06/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
13/06/20261st7/282%100%+0.18