4
Nature Vrie
3yo Filly · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix Des Aulnes - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#10
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 8.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Enghien | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Cherbourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Vincennes | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Caen | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength47%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/2026 | 10th | 125/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 09/06/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 24/06/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |