11

Nostalgie Dairpet

3yo Filly · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix Des Aulnes - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#7

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Laval 25/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 025/09C?C0 @ Amiens 26/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 026/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 03/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 03/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 10/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 12510/12C?C0 @ Enghien 25/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 025/06C?C0 @ La Capelle 07/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 07/07C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-07La Capelle?8th8th0
2026-06-25Enghien?9th9th0
2026-06-16Vincennes?0
2026-04-14Vincennes?0
2026-03-17Enghien?0
2026-02-11Vincennes?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0926/113/1210/1225/067/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength31%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/09/20253rd11/142%83%+0.41
26/11/20259th7/163%27%-0.36
03/12/20252nd5/174%92%+0.19
10/12/20254th5/174%75%+0.01
25/06/20269th22/10%11%+0.11
07/07/20268th14/126%36%+0.10