11

Nostalgie Dairpet
3yo Filly · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix Des Aulnes - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#7
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | La Capelle | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Enghien | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-14 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-17 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-11 | Vincennes | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength31%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 83% | +0.41 |
| 26/11/2025 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 27% | -0.36 |
| 03/12/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 92% | +0.19 |
| 10/12/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 25/06/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 07/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.10 |