4
Lili Guillerville
5yo Filly · 8-13
Cabourg · Prix Des Verveines - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#8
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-28 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-16 | Cabourg | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Cabourg | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Laval | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-09-07 | Le Mont-Saint-Michel | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength61%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 04/07/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 92% | +0.19 |
| 22/07/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 07/09/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 04/10/2025 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 23/10/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 81% | +0.34 |
| 10/11/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 16/12/2025 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 28/12/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |