9
Lou De Lange
5yo Filly · 8-13
Cabourg · Prix Des Verveines - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#3
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Caen | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Vire | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Vincennes | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-12 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-16 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-28 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength56%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |
| 04/04/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 19/10/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 09/11/2025 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 28/11/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 12/01/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 73% | +0.31 |
| 30/01/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |
| 01/03/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 22/06/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |