6
Lou Du Derby
5yo Filly · 9-2
Cabourg · Prix Des Verveines - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Cabourg | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Vichy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Mauquenchy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Mauquenchy | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-15 | Cabourg | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength76%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2024 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 12/02/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 45% | -0.28 |
| 16/03/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 92% | +0.86 |
| 23/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 92% | +0.02 |
| 15/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 10/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 69% | +0.22 |