12

Nanaland

3yo Filly · 8-11

Cabourg · Prix Des Erables - Monte · 1m 5f 147y

#10

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Caen 30/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 12830/054C0 @ Vincennes 16/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 12816/06C?6 @ Cabourg 17/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 12317/076projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Cabourg50
2026-07-17Cabourg68th8th0
2026-06-27Enghien?0
2026-06-16Vincennes?4th4th0
2026-05-30Caen45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0516/0617/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength50%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/05/20265th40/10%60%+0.60
16/06/20264th40/10%57%+0.57
17/07/20268th66/10%53%+0.53