8

Nusica Asschadel
3yo Filly · 9-2
Cabourg · Prix Des Erables - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#14
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Cabourg | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Cabourg | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Enghien | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Caen | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength58%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 17/07/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |