8

Nusica Asschadel

3yo Filly · 9-2

Cabourg · Prix Des Erables - Monte · 1m 5f 147y

#14

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Caen 22/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 12322/06C?C0 @ Enghien 27/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 12827/06C?6 @ Cabourg 17/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 12817/0765 @ Cabourg 24/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 12824/075projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Cabourg56th6th0
2026-07-17Cabourg66th6th0
2026-06-27Enghien?6th6th0
2026-06-22Caen?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0627/0617/0724/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength58%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/06/20265th50/10%67%+0.67
27/06/20266th40/10%44%+0.44
17/07/20266th50/10%67%+0.67
24/07/20266th25/10%58%+0.58