3

National Pride

2yo Colt · 9-7

Catterick · Army Benevolent Fund/EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 6y

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

€24,000 foal, 72,000 gns 2-y-o, Naval Crown colt. Half-brother to 2-y-o 1m winner Sugar Goodson. Dam maiden. Always behind in Ascot novice but made his debut in a strong race and likely to leave that run behind.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Ascot 11/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 7f GF 132 · HIGHER CLASS11/072
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11Ascot26th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength38%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/07/20266th10/147%29%-0.19