4

Palace Legacy

2yo Colt · 9-7

Catterick · Army Benevolent Fund/EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 6y

#1

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

97%

Place Prob

77%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Palace Pier colt. Half-brother to several winners, including useful winner up to 1¼m Great David (2-y-o 1m winner). Dam, 1m-10.4f winner, closely related to smart winners up to 11f Tahaamah and Buckwheat. Green when third of 5 to a couple of more experienced rivals at Epsom, the penny dropping late.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Epsom Downs 16/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 7f3y Goo 13316/073
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Epsom Downs33rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength59%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/07/20263rd6/168%50%-0.18