1

Iconic Times
4yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 50
Catterick · Hugh James Classified Stakes · 7f 6y
#4
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength65%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-05-21 | Southwell | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Kempton | 4 | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-04-25 | Southwell | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Southwell | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 30% | -0.28 |
| 07/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 02/03/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 14/03/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 25/04/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 44% | -0.11 |
| 06/05/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 21/05/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 01/06/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 30/07/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |