4
Wait For It
4yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 48
Catterick · Hugh James Classified Stakes · 7f 6y
#3
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength37%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Musselburgh | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Catterick | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Carlisle | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Newcastle | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-12-09 | Newcastle | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-11-18 | Newcastle | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 22/09/2025 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/11/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 18/11/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 09/12/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 01/01/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 22/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 31/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |