5

Without Delay

7yo Mare · 9-9 · OR 45

Catterick · Hugh James Classified Stakes · 7f 6y

#2

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

17%

Rank

#2

★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner last summer and good third here in May, but she has barely beaten a rival in 4 outings since. Change of headgear.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Newcastle 06/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 53 · 1m5y Std 134 · beat its mark06/11/2025 · OR 53 par6/116OR 536 @ Newcastle 20/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 52 · 7f14y Std 132 · beat its mark20/11/2025 · OR 52 par6 @ Redcar 20/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 51 · 7f Goo 126 · beat its mark20/04/2026 · OR 51 par20/046OR 516 @ Musselburgh 29/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 51 · 7f15y Goo 131 · beat its mark29/04/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Catterick 11/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 49 · 7f6y Gd 124 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 49 par11/056OR 496 @ Catterick 21/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 49 · 7f6y Goo 124 · beat its mark21/05/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Musselburgh 30/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 47 · 1m208y Goo 119 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 47 par30/066OR 476 @ Catterick 08/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 47 · 7f6y GF 122 · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 47 par6 @ Thirsk 16/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 45 · 7f218y Goo 135 · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 45 par16/076OR 45projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Thirsk610th10th0
2026-07-08Catterick69th9th0
2026-06-30Musselburgh67th7th0
2026-05-21Catterick610th10th0
2026-05-11Catterick63rd3rd0
2026-04-29Musselburgh65th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/1129/0430/0616/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/11/20256th40/10%55%+0.55
20/11/202510th50/10%25%+0.25
20/04/202611th28/10%23%+0.23
29/04/20265th17/255%60%+0.05
11/05/20263rd14/126%83%+0.57
21/05/202610th12/137%10%-0.27
30/06/20267th22/10%0%0.00
08/07/20269th9/153%0%-0.53
16/07/202610th18/15%25%+0.20