6
Ziva's Star
4yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 42
Catterick · Hugh James Classified Stakes · 7f 6y
#7
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Beverley | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Pontefract | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Leicester | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Doncaster | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Redcar | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Doncaster | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength36%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/2025 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 20/11/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 06/12/2025 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/04/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 07/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 16/05/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 08/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 21/06/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 14/07/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |