9

Ruler Of The River

6yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 45

Catterick · Jacky Rylance 60th Birthday Celebration Handicap · 1m 7f 189y

#4

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Timeform

Commentary

Winning hurdler but seems to have lost her way, showing little for this yard back on the Flat last month.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength88%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Beverley 28/05/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 45 · 1m4f23y Gd 126 · beat its mark28/05/2025 · OR 45 par28/056OR 455 @ Southwell 09/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 80 · 2m4f88y Gd 153 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/06/2025 · OR 80 par6 @ Lingfield 21/08/2025 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR 45 · 1m7f169y Std 123 · beat its mark21/08/2025 · OR 45 par21/086OR 455 @ Plumpton 21/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 77 · 2m4f116y Goo 145 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/09/2025 · OR 77 par5 @ Market Rasen 14/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 82 · 2m7f16y Gd 154 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/10/2025 · OR 82 par14/105OR 825 @ Sedgefield 06/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 82 · 2m5f34y Goo 152 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/11/2025 · OR 82 par5 @ Taunton 08/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 81 · 2m104y Gd 149 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/01/2026 · OR 81 par8/015OR 815 @ Catterick 15/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 45 · 1m4f13y GF 140 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Beverley 28/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 45 · 1m4f23y Goo 129 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 45 par28/076OR 45projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-28Beverley65th5th0
2026-07-15Catterick56th5th+1
2026-05-13Perth5+1
2026-01-08Taunton53rd2nd+1
2025-12-28Leicester5+1
2025-11-06Sedgefield56th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0521/098/0128/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/05/202510th66/10%10%+0.10
09/06/20253rd50/10%82%+0.82
21/08/202513th66/10%0%0.00
21/09/20251st10/147%100%+0.53
14/10/20257th10/382%45%-0.37
06/11/20256th3/184%44%-0.40
08/01/20263rd10/147%67%+0.19
15/07/20266th80/10%0%0.00
28/07/20265th100/10%33%+0.33