5
Slack Alice
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 50
Catterick · Jacky Rylance 60th Birthday Celebration Handicap · 1m 7f 189y
#3
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength92%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | Stratford | 5 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Market Rasen | 5 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Ludlow | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-22 | Ludlow | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-03-31 | Newcastle | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Ffos Las | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength89%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/01/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 20/02/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/03/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 31/03/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 13% | +0.07 |
| 22/04/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 12/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 29/06/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |