8

Star Of Jupiter

5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 45

Catterick · Jacky Rylance 60th Birthday Celebration Handicap · 1m 7f 189y

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

First past the post off a 1 lb higher mark at Ffos Las (2m) last summer but has struggled at this level on his last 2 starts back on turf.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength30%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Ffos Las 28/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 47 · 2m GS 131 · beat its mark28/08/2025 · OR 47 par28/086OR 476 @ Bath 13/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 48 · 2m1f24y Sft 135 · beat its mark13/09/2025 · OR 48 par6 @ Bath 09/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 48 · 2m1f24y Goo 128 · beat its mark09/10/2025 · OR 48 par9/106OR 486 @ Wolverhampton 18/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 48 · 2m120y Std 128 · beat its mark18/10/2025 · OR 48 par6 @ Wolverhampton 22/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 47 · 2m120y Std 127 · beat its mark22/12/2025 · OR 47 par22/126OR 476 @ Southwell 30/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 46 · 1m6f21y Std 148 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 46 par6 @ Newcastle 19/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 46 · 2m56y Std 127 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 46 par19/056OR 466 @ Yarmouth 10/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 46 · 1m6f17y Sft 121 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 46 par6 @ Nottingham 25/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 45 · 1m6f Goo 121 · beat its mark25/06/2026 · OR 45 par25/066OR 45projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-25Nottingham64th4th0
2026-06-10Yarmouth66th6th0
2026-05-19Newcastle65th5th0
2026-04-30Southwell62nd2nd0
2025-12-22Wolverhampton66th6th0
2025-10-18Wolverhampton64th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0818/1019/0525/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength18%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/08/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
13/09/20253rd11/271%85%+0.14
09/10/20254th3/184%73%-0.11
18/10/20254th4/179%63%-0.16
22/12/20256th7/282%38%-0.44
30/04/20262nd18/15%90%+0.85
19/05/20265th9/276%33%-0.43
10/06/20266th7/282%38%-0.44
25/06/20264th4/179%0%-0.79