3
Barmyblade
4yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 57
Catterick · Hannah Blanchard 21st Birthday Handicap · 5f 212y
#2
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength41%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Catterick | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Beverley | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Thirsk | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Ripon | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Ripon | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Nottingham | 6 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength56%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/2026 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 22/04/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 07/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 19/05/2026 | 12th | 15/2 | 61% | 8% | -0.52 |
| 28/05/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 17/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 14/07/2026 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 22/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |