8
Battenburg Belle
3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 51
Catterick · Hannah Blanchard 21st Birthday Handicap · 5f 212y
#1
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
88%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength49%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Pontefract | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Beverley | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Catterick | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Carlisle | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Catterick | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Ripon | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength31%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 85% | +0.58 |
| 20/04/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.10 |
| 07/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 08/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 88% | -0.03 |
| 22/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 26/07/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 80% | +0.25 |