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2

Miss Rainbow

5yo Mare · 9-11 · OR 58

Catterick · Hannah Blanchard 21st Birthday Handicap · 5f 212y

#3

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won over 5f at Thirsk in June and a couple of decent placed efforts following month. Not quite in the same form turned out quickly back at Thirsk 11 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength67%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 27/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 60 · 6f Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/03/2026 · OR 60 par27/035OR 605 @ Catterick 08/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 59 · 5f212y Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 59 par6 @ Redcar 30/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 59 · 5f GF 135 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 59 par30/046OR 595 @ Catterick 11/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 57 · 5f212y Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Thirsk 05/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 58 · 5f Gd 133 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 58 par5/066OR 585 @ Newcastle 26/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 62 · 5f Sta 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/06/2026 · OR 62 par6 @ Carlisle 09/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 61 · 5f182y Goo 138 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 61 par9/076OR 616 @ Catterick 22/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 60 · 5f212y GF 135 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 60 par5 @ Thirsk 24/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 60 · 6f Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 60 par24/075OR 60projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Thirsk54th3rd+1
2026-07-22Catterick63rd3rd0
2026-07-09Carlisle63rd3rd0
2026-06-26Newcastle511th10th+1
2026-06-05Thirsk61st1st0
2026-05-11Catterick52nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0311/059/0724/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength68%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/03/20266th33/10%38%+0.38
08/04/20263rd5/174%71%-0.02
30/04/20265th5/174%50%-0.24
11/05/20262nd17/255%86%+0.30
05/06/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
26/06/202611th16/116%9%-0.07
09/07/20263rd9/153%80%+0.27
22/07/20263rd7/491%67%-0.24
24/07/20264th5/287%57%-0.30