7
N'ion
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 45
Catterick · racingtv.com Handicap · 1m 4f 13y
#7
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength52%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 8.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Southwell | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Windsor | 6 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Ripon | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-03-23 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-03-02 | Kempton | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength16%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 23/03/2026 | 5th | 200/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/04/2026 | 6th | 200/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 23/05/2026 | 14th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/07/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |