8
Spirit Of Tokyo
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 45
Catterick · racingtv.com Handicap · 1m 4f 13y
#8
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength68%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Catterick | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Newcastle | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-01-23 | Southwell | 3 | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-01-13 | Newcastle | 4 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength23%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/01/2026 | 10th | 200/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 23/01/2026 | 7th | 200/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 04/02/2026 | 8th | 250/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 22/07/2026 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |