7
Dunnington Lad
6yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 45
Catterick · Racing Again 17th August Handicap · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#2
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength37%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Ripon | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Leicester | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Ripon | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Leicester | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Nottingham | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Redcar | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 03/06/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 29/08/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |
| 07/05/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 19/05/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 08/06/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 38% | -0.18 |
| 17/06/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 14% | -0.59 |
| 25/06/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |