1

Without Flaw

5yo Mare · 9-9 · OR 53

Catterick · Racing Again 17th August Handicap · 5f

#6

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dual Beverley winner last summer. Returned with an encouraging third at Wetherby but she hasn't backed it up in 5 subsequent starts.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength54%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Pontefract 06/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 60 · 5f3y Sft 130 · beat its mark06/10/2025 · OR 60 par6/106OR 605 @ Redcar 17/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 60 · 5f Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/10/2025 · OR 60 par5 @ Newcastle 07/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 63 · 5f Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/11/2025 · OR 63 par7/115OR 635 @ Wetherby 26/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 61 · 5f110y Goo 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/04/2026 · OR 61 par5 @ Beverley 12/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 59 · 5f Goo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/05/2026 · OR 59 par12/055OR 596 @ Thirsk 05/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 58 · 5f Gd 133 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 58 par5 @ Pontefract 29/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 57 · 5f3y Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 57 par29/065OR 576 @ Beverley 14/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 55 · 5f Goo 135 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 55 par5 @ Beverley 28/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 53 · 5f Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 53 par28/075OR 53projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-28Beverley56th5th+1
2026-07-14Beverley67th7th0
2026-06-29Pontefract57th6th+1
2026-06-05Thirsk64th4th0
2026-05-12Beverley57th6th+1
2026-04-26Wetherby53rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/1026/0429/0628/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/10/20252nd11/142%91%+0.49
17/10/20255th5/174%60%-0.14
07/11/20256th33/10%62%+0.62
26/04/20263rd20/10%60%+0.60
12/05/20267th8/158%33%-0.25
05/06/20264th7/282%73%-0.09
29/06/20267th11/271%14%-0.57
14/07/20267th9/276%33%-0.43
28/07/20266th18/15%38%+0.32