5

Briona

5yo Filly · 9-4

Deauville · Prix Des Remparts D'honfleurhandicap · 1m 1f 207y

#6

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength15%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Clairefontaine 25/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 13225/08C?C0 @ Saint-Cloud 26/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Ver 128C0 @ Fontainebleau 17/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m4f203y Sft 12317/10C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 03/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 130C0 @ Saint-Cloud 20/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 13020/11C?C0 @ Deauville 22/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 1283 @ Fontainebleau 28/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m2f205y Sft 12328/0233 @ Saint-Cloud 15/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 1243 @ ParisLongchamp 12/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12412/043projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-22Clairefontaine30
2026-06-27Dieppe30
2026-04-12ParisLongchamp33rd3rd0
2026-03-15Saint-Cloud35th5th0
2026-02-28Fontainebleau31st1st0
2025-12-22Deauville?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/083/1128/0212/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength27%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/08/20252nd9/153%93%+0.41
26/09/20252nd15/261%92%+0.31
17/10/20252nd9/276%93%+0.17
03/11/20253rd5/287%82%-0.05
20/11/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
22/12/20257th16/116%60%+0.44
28/02/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
15/03/20265th6/168%71%+0.03
12/04/20263rd10/147%85%+0.37