3
La Bonita
5yo Filly · 9-5
Deauville · Prix Des Remparts D'honfleurhandicap · 1m 1f 207y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-04-07 | Deauville | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 87% | +0.05 |
| 29/10/2025 | 13th | 7/2 | 82% | 8% | -0.74 |
| 30/03/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 07/04/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 77% | +0.35 |
| 30/04/2026 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 46% | -0.38 |
| 19/05/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 43% | -0.28 |
| 11/06/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 02/07/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 53% | -0.18 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |