8

Rue Poussin

4yo Filly · 9-1

Deauville · Prix Des Remparts D'honfleurhandicap · 1m 1f 207y

#4

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Deauville 02/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1272/11C?C0 @ Deauville 28/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1313 @ Deauville 07/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1327/0233 @ Chantilly 08/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1303 @ Saint-Cloud 03/04/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1323/0433 @ Chantilly 19/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Ver 1303 @ Compiegne 09/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 1319/063C0 @ Dieppe 23/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 1m1f152y GS 1323 @ Dieppe 18/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 12318/073projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Dieppe39th9th0
2026-06-23Dieppe?2nd2nd0
2026-06-09Compiegne310th10th0
2026-05-19Chantilly313th13th0
2026-04-03Saint-Cloud313th13th0
2026-03-08Chantilly32nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/118/039/0618/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength11%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/11/20252nd14/126%92%+0.65
28/11/20253rd2/189%83%-0.06
07/02/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
08/03/20262nd5/174%92%+0.18
03/04/202613th13/266%20%-0.46
19/05/202613th14/126%20%-0.06
09/06/202610th20/10%31%+0.31
23/06/20262nd11/486%75%-0.11
18/07/20269th16/116%43%+0.27