10
Tokyo Dreamer
5yo Filly · 8-6
Deauville · Prix Des Remparts D'honfleurhandicap · 1m 1f 207y
#8
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | 3 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength46%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 05/03/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 19/03/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 17/04/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 93% | +0.51 |
| 15/05/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |
| 25/05/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 13/06/2026 | 14th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.39 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 79% | +0.18 |