5

Laffan

4yo Colt · 8-11

Deauville · Doha Cup (Prix Manganate) Stakes (Arab Group 1) · 1m 1f 207y

#1

Rank

Odds

15/8

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

91%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 05/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1235/05C5C0 @ La Teste De Buch 16/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 12816/06C?C0 @ Deauville 05/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 1m1f207y Gd 1285/08C?C0 @ Saint-Cloud 03/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 1283/10C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-10-03Saint-Cloud?1st1st0
2025-08-05Deauville?1st1st0
2025-06-16La Teste De Buch?1st1st0
2025-05-05Bordeaux Le Bouscat?1st6th4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0516/065/083/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/05/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
16/06/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
05/08/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
03/10/20251st15/890%100%+0.10