4

Moneer

5yo Colt · 9-1

Deauville · Doha Cup (Prix Manganate) Stakes (Arab Group 1) · 1m 1f 207y

#3

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 1.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Toulouse 11/10/2024 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 12311/10C5C5 @ La Teste De Buch 02/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m1f97y Sft 128C1 @ La Teste De Buch 24/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m1f97y Ver 12824/04C1C0 @ Chantilly 15/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 128C0 @ Doncaster 13/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m2f Sft 12613/09C?1 @ Toulouse 19/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 132C0 @ ParisLongchamp 10/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 13110/05C?1 @ La Teste De Buch 11/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m1f97y Gd 12811/071projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11La Teste De Buch11st1st0
2026-05-10ParisLongchamp?3rd3rd0
2026-04-19Toulouse11st1st0
2025-09-13Doncaster?2nd2nd0
2025-06-15Chantilly?3rd3rd0
2025-04-24La Teste De Buch?1st2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/1015/0610/0511/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength91%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/10/20242nd9/488%86%-0.02
02/04/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
24/04/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
15/06/20253rd1/195%78%-0.17
13/09/20252nd5/174%86%+0.12
19/04/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
10/05/20263rd9/276%71%-0.05
11/07/20261st10/382%100%+0.18