1
Moshrif
8yo Horse · 9-1
Deauville · Doha Cup (Prix Manganate) Stakes (Arab Group 1) · 1m 1f 207y
#5
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | Meydan | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-05 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-05 | Deauville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-10-06 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2024-08-06 | Deauville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength71%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/2023 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |
| 12/05/2024 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 06/08/2024 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 06/10/2024 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 05/08/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 07/09/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 05/10/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 28/03/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 69% | +0.43 |