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Sab'aan Al Shahania

4yo Colt · 8-11

Deauville · Doha Cup (Prix Manganate) Stakes (Arab Group 1) · 1m 1f 207y

#4

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 2.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Dax 31/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y GS 12331/07C5C0 @ La Teste De Buch 29/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 12829/08C?C0 @ Saint-Cloud 03/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 1283/10C?C0 @ La Teste De Buch 22/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m1f97y GS 12822/04C?1 @ Chantilly 14/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12814/061projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-14Chantilly11st1st0
2026-04-22La Teste De Buch?5th5th−0
2025-10-03Saint-Cloud?3rd3rd0
2025-08-29La Teste De Buch?3rd3rd−0
2025-07-31Dax?1st6th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0729/083/1022/0414/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength62%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/07/20251st15/261%100%+0.39
29/08/20253rd11/271%50%-0.21
03/10/20253rd33/10%75%+0.75
22/04/20265th5/174%33%-0.40
14/06/20261st18/15%100%+0.95