1
Foxey Lady
6yo Mare · 9-6
Deauville · Prix De L'avant-port D'honfleur Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#4
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength44%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-04-20 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength12%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/2025 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 16/10/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 13/11/2025 | 13th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 19/03/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 29/03/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 20/04/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 10/05/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 46% | -0.28 |
| 29/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 78% | +0.20 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |