4
Grand Chelem
4yo Gelding · 9-5
Deauville · Prix De L'avant-port D'honfleur Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#6
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.1
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Dieppe | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Chantilly | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-02-20 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength57%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 08/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 93% | +0.06 |
| 17/12/2025 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 86% | -0.09 |
| 20/02/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 29/03/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 28/04/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 64% | -0.02 |
| 12/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 09/06/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 54% | -0.15 |
| 18/07/2026 | 10th | 4/1 | 79% | 36% | -0.43 |